21 Jul 2025

Japanese PM Shigeru Ishiba faces worst election result since 1999

8:40 am on 21 July 2025
Japan's Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba reacts during an interview with local media at the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) headquarters as results in the country's general election are released, in Tokyo on October 27, 2024. - Japan's scandal-hit ruling party fell short of a majority for the first time since 2009 in snap elections on October 27, media projections showed, a blow to new Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba. (Photo by JIJI PRESS / AFP) / Japan OUT / JAPAN OUT

Shigeru Ishiba is vowing to stay on as Japanese prime minister despite two poor election results. Photo: AFP / JIJI PRESS

  • Japan's ruling coalition has suffered its second poor election result in less than a year, this time looking likely to lose its majority in the country's upper house.
  • The Liberal Democratic Party and coalition partner Komeito also lost the majority in the lower house last October.
  • It has piled pressure on Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba ahead of trade talks with the US.

Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba has vowed to stay on despite exit polls showing his ruling coalition is likely to lose power in the country's upper house.

Exit polls and early returns show the alliance between Mr Ishiba's Liberal Democratic Party and coalition partner Komeito on course for the worst result since it was founded in 1999.

That comes on top of its worst showing in 15 years in October's lower house election, a vote that has left Mr Ishiba's grip on power vulnerable to no-confidence motions and calls from within his own party for leadership change.

Speaking two hours after polls closed to public broadcaster NHK, Mr Ishiba said he "solemnly" accepted the "harsh result".

"It's a difficult situation, and we have to take it very humbly and seriously," he said.

Asked whether he intended to stay on as prime minister and party leader, he said "that's right".

"We can't do anything until we see the final results, but we want to be very aware of our responsibility."

The result also comes as Japan, the world's fourth-largest economy, faces a deadline of August 1 to strike a trade deal with the United States or face punishing tariffs in its largest export market.

"We are engaged in extremely critical tariff negotiations with the United States … we must never ruin these negotiations," Mr Ishiba told TV Tokyo later on Sunday night.

"It is only natural to devote our complete dedication and energy to realising our national interests."

Far-right Sanseito party surges

The main opposition Constitutional Democratic Party is projected to win 18 to 30 seats, from 22 held previously, NHK's exit poll showed.

The far-right Sanseito party, birthed on YouTube a few years ago, has been the surprise package with its "Japanese First" campaign and warnings about a "silent invasion" of foreigners.

It is forecast to win 10-15 seats in the chamber, up from one held previously, yet it holds only three seats in the lower house.

Sanseito, which first emerged during the COVID-19 pandemic spreading conspiracy theories about vaccinations and a cabal of global elites, has dragged once-fringe political rhetoric into the mainstream and gained wider support among frustrated voters.

It remains to be seen whether the party can follow the path of other far-right parties with which it has drawn comparisons, such as Germany's AFD and Reform UK.

Japan's oppositional parties advocating for tax cuts and welfare spending have struck a chord with voters, the exit polls showed.

Rising consumer prices - particularly a jump in the cost of rice - have sowed frustration at the government's response.

- Reuters