21 Sep 2021

Evergrande: Asia stocks down as investors weigh China concerns

7:18 pm on 21 September 2021

Asian stock markets were down on Tuesday amid concerns around Chinese property group Evergrande and the impact on China's financial system.

The China Evergrande Centre in Hong Kong, 15 September 2021. World stocks sank on Monday as trading floors were gripped by contagion fears from the expected collapse of debt-plagued property giant Evergrande.

Photo: AFP

Japan's benchmark Nikkei 225 index was more than 2 percent lower, while the Hang Seng in Hong Kong dipped by 0.8 percent.

The Dow Jones index in the US ended Monday's trade 1.8 percent lower.

That followed similar falls in Europe, with Germany's Dax index losing 2.3 percent, and the Cac 40 in France down 1.7 percent.

Major stock exchanges in mainland China were closed on Monday and Tuesday for the annual mid-Autumn festival.

Despite the recent falls the Nikkei is up by almost 30 percent compared to a year ago, while the Hang Seng is still slightly higher than it was 12 months ago.

The sell-off was primarily driven by concerns that Evergrande - one of China's biggest property developers - is struggling to meet interest payments on more than $300 billion of debts.

Regulators in China warned it could spark broader risks to the country's financial system. And investors fear this could hit big banks exposed to Evergrande and companies like it, causing contagion in global markets.

It comes as the global economy is still recovering from the impact of the coronavirus.

'China's Lehman moment'

"The fear of an Evergrande bankruptcy appears to be leading to concern about China's very own Lehman [Brothers] moment, and a big overspill across the region," said Michael Hewson of CMC Markets.

Investors are also nervous that the US Federal Reserve, which meets on Tuesday and Wednesday, will confirm plans to cut back support for the US economy this year.

Global stocks have rallied as economies reopen and central banks have provided trillions of dollars in support to boost growth.

But there are concerns of a decline, if support is taken away at a time when the Delta variant continues to drag on recovery.

Strategists at Morgan Stanley said they expected a 10 percent correction in America's S&P 500 index as the Fed starts to unwind its support.

They added that signs of a stalling recovery could deepen that slide to 20 percent.

'Signal from the noise'

However, other analysts played down fears of a rout, noting that September is typically a bad months for stocks.

"Overall, September continues to live up to its bad reputation as historically the weakest month of the year. But that doesn't mean it can't rebound," said JJ Kinahan, chief market strategist at TD Ameritrade.

And Lindsey Bell of Ally Invest said any pullback may be short-lived.

"Much of investing is about sorting through what's signal and what's noise," she said. "While there is concern about the Evergrande situation infecting global markets, for the long-term investor, this situation may just be noise."

- BBC