31 Mar 2022

Omicron outbreak: High infection rate but Canterbury has passed peak - Michael Baker

5:41 am on 31 March 2022

Canterbury is now the country's Covid-19 hotspot, with the highest rates of new infections.

CHRISTCHURCH, NEW ZEALAND - 2022/02/23: A billboard is outside a vaccination center in Christchurch.
Covid-19 cases are drastically rising across New Zealand.

Canterbury and South Canterbury infections are close to 500 per 100,000 people, Michael Baker says. Photo: © 2022 SOPA Images

It's nine weeks since Omicron was first recorded in New Zealand and cases have peaked nearly everywhere but, with the wave roughly moving south, rural Southland looks to be last in line.

Christchurch GP Pippa Mackay said her practice was constantly getting notifications that patients had Covid-19.

"It really is everywhere. We've got a couple of backroom staff off at the moment and we've had a doctor and three nurses off over last few weeks," she said

The nurses in her team were calling vulnerable people and fielding queries from other patients but most people were managing really well at home, she said.

The outbreak had swept through university students, then high school students, then younger kids, their families and, worryingly, their grandparents, she said.

Epidemiologist Michael Baker said Canterbury and South Canterbury had the highest rate of new infections of any district health board region - close to 500 per 100,000 people.

Despite that, they appeared to have passed their peaks.

So had most of the rest of the country - but not all at once.

University of Otago epidemiologist Michael Baker has won the 2020 Prime Minister's Science Communication Prize.

Michael Baker Photo: Supplied / University of Otago

Auckland had peaked on about 4 March, with most of the major metropolitan areas in the North Island - Waikato, Bay of Plenty, Wellington and the Hutt Valley, about a week later, Baker said.

There were still some North Island district health boards in more rural areas sitting just behind Canterbury when it came to new infection rates - Hawke's Bay, Taranaki, Whanganui and Wairarapa, he said.

That could be because they had more spread out communities, making it harder for the virus to move as quickly through the region as it had in Auckland where it peaked very quickly.

Southern DHB was a good example, with earlier outbreaks in Dunedin and Queenstown that were now easing off.

DHB Covid-19 response director Hwyel Lloyd said they were now seeing new spikes in Gore, Mataura, Invercargill and rural Southland, with cases yet to peak in those areas.

There were seven Covid-19 patients in Invercargill Hospital which normally had capacity for just eight.

The DHB was now deciding whether to open more Covid-19 beds or send patients to Dunedin Hospital, he said.

Baker said about 12 percent of the country was known to have had Omicron - but in reality it would be many more because not every case was recorded and many people would not have even realised they had it.

It was still crucial for people to get a booster, he said.

"Even though we have passed the peak in most places in New Zealand with this outbreak wave, it's not going to magically disappear in a month's time," he said.

"We're going to settle down to this being constantly present."

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