27 Sep 2023

Major parties dip further, NZ First and Greens up - 1News-Verian poll

6:07 pm on 27 September 2023
Winston Peters.

Winston Peters. Photo: Newshub Nation / Warner Bros Discovery ANZ

National and ACT would need NZ First's support to form a government, and Labour is still losing support, the latest 1News-Verian poll suggests.

It's a shift from the previous week's poll, when the two could have formed a coalition without needing Winston Peters.

NZ First and the Greens were the only parties on the rise among those likely to get into Parliament, with no change for ACT.

  • National: 36 percent, down 1 point (45 seats)
  • Labour: 26 percent, down 1 point (33 seats)
  • Greens: 13 percent, up 1 point (17 seats)
  • ACT: 12 percent, steady (15 seats)
  • NZ First: 6 percent, up 1 point (8 seats)
  • Te Pāti Māori: 2 percent, down 1 point (2 seats)

The TOP and NZ Loyal parties were both still on 1 percent each, with NewZeal and New Conservatives both also increasing to 1 percent support.

Some 11 percent said they did not know, or refused to say, who they would vote for - these were excluded from the percentage and seat calculations.

There was little change in the preferred prime minister stakes too, with National and Labour's leaders Christopher Luxon and Chris Hipkins both steady and equal on 23 percent, with no movement for ACT's David Seymour or Peters either.

The Green Party co-leaders each gained 1 point of support, overtaking their #3 Chlöe Swarbrick, who dropped a point.

  • Christopher Luxon: 23 percent - steady
  • Chris Hipkins: 23 percent - steady
  • David Seymour: 5 percent - steady
  • Winston Peters: 4 percent - steady
  • Marama Davidson: 2 percent, up 1 point
  • James Shaw: 2 percent, up 1 point
  • Jacinda Ardern: 1 percent, steady
  • Chlöe Swarbrick: 1 percent - down 1 point
  • Nicola Willis: 1 percent - down 1 point
  • Liz Gunn: 1 percent - up 1 point

The previous 1News-Verian poll a week ago had National falling two points, Labour falling one point, with Greens and ACT both up two.

The poll surveyed about 1000 eligible voters and was weighted for demographics, with a margin of error of 3.1 percent at the 95 percent confidence interval. It was conducted between 23 and 26 September.

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