13 Oct 2023

Australians to reject Indigenous Voice in referendum - final YouGov poll

11:54 am on 13 October 2023
(FILES) In this photo taken on October 3, 2023, a woman handing out brochures walks past referendum promotional posters outside a voting centre in central Sydney. On October 14, 2023 almost 18 million Australians will decide whether to recognise Indigenous Australians in the constitution for the first time, and whether to create a permanent Indigenous consultative body. (Photo by DAVID GRAY / AFP) / TO GO WITH AFP STORY AUSTRALIA-INDIGENOUS-REFERENDUM-MISINFORMATION, BY JOSEPH OLBRYCHT PALMER

Photo: DAVID GRAY

Australians are set to overwhelmingly say 'No' to a proposal to constitutionally recognise the country's Indigenous people in a referendum on Saturday, one of the final opinion polls ahead of the vote showed.

Australians have to vote 'Yes' or 'No' to a question asking whether they agree to alter the 122-year-old constitution to recognise Aboriginal and Torres Strait Island people, and create a body, called the Voice to Parliament, that can provide advice to the government.

More than 4 million people have already cast their ballot after early voting began on October 2.

With less than a day to go before voting day tomorrow, October 14, those opposed to the proposal lead the 'Yes' camp by 56 percent to 38 percent, according to the final poll by YouGov published on Thursday. Some 6 percent of those polled were undecided. Yougov polled 1,519 voters for the survey.

"Our final poll indicates a sweeping 'No' victory with nearing six in 10 voters intending to cast a 'NoG' vote," YouGov Director of Polling and Academic research Amir Daftari said.

"Our detailed analysis indicates that it is very unlikely that 'Yes' will win anywhere apart from a number of inner metropolitan seats."

'Yes' leads among the young while older voters overwhelmingly favour 'No', the polls found.

Australia's Indigenous citizens, about 3.8 percent of the country's 26 million population, have inhabited the land for about 60,000 years but are not mentioned in the constitution and track below national averages on most socio-economic measures.

Support for the referendum, the first since voters rejected a 1999 proposal to become a republic, has ebbed over the past few months. Supporters argue the Voice will bring progress for Indigenous Australians, while some opponents say enshrining one group in the constitution would be divisive.

Others against the Voice have described it as tokenism and toothless.

Referendums are difficult to pass in Australia, with only eight referendums being approved since it became a country in 1901.

Constitutional change requires a majority of votes nationwide and in at least four of the six states.

-Reuters