11 Oct 2023

Poll mania: Right bloc loses seats, labour climbing in latest polls

From Checkpoint, 6:08 pm on 11 October 2023

With just two days to go until New Zealand goes to the polls, Labour is pushing back but is it too little too late?

The latest TVNZ Verian poll has Labour up 2 points to 28 percent, National up one point to 37 percent and the Green Party up 1 point to 14 percent.

ACT is down again to 9 percent. NZ First is steady on 6 percent and Te Pati Maori and The Opportunities Party are both steady on 2 percent.

As for preferred Prime Minister, National's Christopher Luxon has lost some support- he's down 1 point to 25 per cent- the same as Chris Hipkins.

Winston Peters is up 1 point to 5 per cent and David Seymour is also up 1 point to 4 percent.

The Verian poll would give National 47 seats and ACT 11 seats. Christopher Luxon would need NZ First's 8 MPs to form a government.

A Labour, Green, Te Pati Maori coalition would fall well short with just 54 seats combined.

Although a call with Winston Peters would get them across the line.

And the Verian poll isn't the only poll tonight.

Newshub also has a Reid Resarch poll, it says National is crashing, it has National on 34.5 percent plummeting 4 points.

Labour is on 27.5. Greens are on 14.9 percent. ACT is stalling on 8.8. NZ First is on 6.8 percent.

On Reid Research numbers, National and Act would only have 54 seats combined- the same as Labour and the Greens. But Labour and Greens would have Te Pati Maori's two seats.

Christopher Luxon would definitely need NZ First's 9 MPs to form a government.

Our political editor Jane Patterson joins Lisa Owen now in studio to break this all down.