Labour has taken a slight hit and would need help from the Greens to form a government according to the latest 1 News Colmar Brunton poll.
Monday's poll puts Labour on 47 percent and National on 33 percent. ACT continues to rise - now on 8 percent, and the Greens are on 7 percent.
New Zealand First continues to tumble - down to 1 percent.
Lara Greaves is a politics lecturer at Auckland University. She joins Lisa Owen with her analysis.