17 Jul 2020

Covid-19: Modelling suggests border breach risk low

From Morning Report, 8:22 am on 17 July 2020

New modelling shows the risk of an infectious person slipping through the border undetected remains very low - but only if stringent border controls remain in place.

The new numbers from Te Punaha Matatini - a team of mathematicians and scientists - suggest New Zealand could expect only one person over the next 18 months to be released into the community while still infectious.

Michael Plank is a professor in Mathematics at the University of Canterbury.